Assumption and Stats Say

Chief Concerns: Stephen Brown

The stats say that since 1990 74% of the Super Bowl winning teams drafted their own quarterback, but were all those first round picks?

Since 2000 there’s been QB’s to go to a Super Bowl, even win without being picked with the first 32.

It happens.

Easy one, but Tom Brady a sixth round pick (199th overall) from Michigan has won three and been to five Super Bowls total. Brady has a great coach in Bill Belichick (151 wins). Fans assume (hope) Kansas City can get the same from Andy Reid (130 wins).

Second gimme, Drew Brees (2nd round).

Brad Johnson with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won a Super Bowl in 2002, taken in the 9th round. Kurt Warner wasn’t drafted at all. Warner won a Super Bowl with the St. Louis Rams (Warner had a great coach in Dick Vermeil) in 1999. Warner also went to Super Bowl’s in 2001 and 2008, but lost in both.

Not bad for a guy bagging produce before the Rams.

Rich Gannon a Kansas City favorite went to a Super Bowl in 2002 and was taken in the 4th round; he was decent, a player the Chiefs should have kept.

There are others. Joe Montana (3rd round), Mark Rypien (6th round), Matt Hasselbeck (6th round), Jake Delhomme (not drafted) and back when Joe Theismann (4th round).

There are examples of guys falling through the cracks. Might not make fans feel any better about Alex Smith, but still true. Fans will accept, believe and assume Alex Smith will fail.

The only one, no scratch that… two that can change fans thinking on Smith is Smith himself and Reid.

Last season Russell Wilson taken in the third round (75th overall) by Seattle was 4th in the NFL with a 100.0 passer rating, he also had 3,118 yards passing, 26 TD’s and just 10 INT’s. John Dorsey said Wilson gave the best interview he’s heard in 25 seasons, Chief fans expect Dorsey to find one of these guys late.

Matt Schaub was taken in the 3rd round (90th overall) of the 2004 draft by the Atlanta Falcons; Shaub took his Houston Texans to a 12-4 record last season.

Cowboy’s Tony Romo, an up and down player, but one Chief fans would probably take… went undrafted in 2003. Romo was a top 10 QB last season with the third most passing yards in the league, 4,903 yards.

We (fans) guess a lot, but fact is… we don’t know.

Marty Schottenheimer was a good coach and won 101 games with OK (Joe Montana was great) QB’s, Dick Vermeil rolled the dice on Trent Green an 8th round QB, not a popular decision either. Kansas City traded their No.12 overall and their second round pick in 2001 to the Rams.

Hey, sometimes coaches (the good ones) do know what they’re doing. Vermeil had to convince Carl Peterson, but Vermeil believed in Green.

Just as there’s proof that a first round QB can win, there’s evidence that other than a first can win too.

There’s nothing keeping the Chiefs from drafting a QB in the draft, Alex Smith doesn’t change that. Given what the Chiefs have besides an Alex Smith, it warrants taking the best QB Reid and Dorsey can in the draft.

Kansas City talked to as many as eight QB’s at the NFL Scouting Combine. That’s solid indication Kansas City is still thinking on taking a QB.

Don’t over hypothesize, but rather show some trust as fans. I doubt Andy Reid and John Dorsey suddenly lost it.

What you think?

Good day, Chiefs fans!